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BRAZIL · COURTS
Key Facts
- —The country Brazil votes in a presidential runoff on Sunday 25 October 2026, Lula against Flávio Bolsonaro.
- —Why it matters A judge acted against a friend of candidate Flávio Bolsonaro two days before the vote.
- —Why now Justice Alexandre de Moraes signed the order on Friday 23 October 2026.
- —What happened Moraes ordered up to R$6 billion (US$1.19 billion) blocked and cancelled lawyer Willer Tomaz’s passports.
- —What it means for you No charge against Flávio is known, and the vote stays on Sunday.
- —Still open Whether Tomaz appeals, how much is actually frozen, and what banks hand over within 24 hours.
- —Prediction markets Polymarket gives Flávio 79.5%, Lula 20.5% for the runoff (24 October, 5:15 a.m. ET). Polymarket puts Flávio Bolsonaro’s chance of winning at 80% and Kalshi at 79% (Lula: 21% and 22%), as of 24 October, 5:20 am ET; prices are bets, not polls.
- —Power Index Brazil ranks 1st of 14 in The Rio Times Latin America Power Index, with 75.0 points (October 2026 edition).
In Plain English
The Supreme Federal Court, known as the STF, is Brazil’s highest court, and one of its justices can order searches, bank secrecy waivers and asset freezes in an investigation. An inquiry is the investigation stage, so nobody named in this story has been charged.
Brazil Election Data Room
Runoff poll average: Flávio Bolsonaro 51.0%, Lula 49.0%
41 national polls from 20 pollsters since 4 October, updated hourly. Every poll, free to download.
The Federal Police, known as the PF, is Brazil’s national investigative police. Coaf is the financial intelligence unit, and CVM is the securities regulator.
A Brazilian Supreme Court justice has ordered up to R$6 billion (US$1.19 billion) frozen from lawyer Willer Tomaz, who left Brazil for Miami after an August police raid, reports on the order say, two days before the Brazil election 2026 runoff. Justice Alexandre de Moraes signed the order on Friday 23 October 2026 in a money-laundering inquiry in which Tomaz’s friend, presidential candidate Flávio Bolsonaro, is also under investigation.
Readers following Brazil election polls and Brazil election odds will note the timing, ahead of the Brazil runoff date of Sunday 25 October. Both men deny doing business together, and an inquiry is an investigation, not a charge.
The decision was reported on Friday evening by the public news agency Agência Brasil and by the g1 news site, and Gazeta do Povo and Brasil de Fato confirmed its core details later that night. The sources reviewed do not carry a reaction from Flávio Bolsonaro to this specific order.
What the Judge Ordered
Moraes ordered the block of up to R$6 billion from Willer Tomaz (US$1.19 billion at the central bank rate of R$5.0377 per US dollar on 23 October). Agência Brasil says the figure covers movable assets, real estate, aircraft and boats.
He also lifted bank, tax and foreign-exchange secrecy for Tomaz and four companies, Alcazar Brasil, Alcazar Holdings, Alcazar Global Holdings and Catedral Holdings. Banks must hand over, within 24 hours, all data on the companies’ accounts, including past and current co-holders.
The justice cancelled Tomaz’s passports, including a diplomatic one, and suspended the economic, financial and business activities of all his companies. Coaf, the Central Bank and the securities regulator will be told to carry out the blocks.
Investigators acted because Willer Tomaz left Brazil in August, after police searched him in Operation Sem Desconto, a separate probe of unauthorised deductions from state pensions. Investigators flagged that departure as a risk that evidence could be destroyed, mainly funds and companies abroad.
Agência Brasil and the Brasília outlet Metrópoles say Tomaz flew to Miami, and Metrópoles, quoting the decision, gives the date as 21 August with no record of a return. Brasil de Fato reports that he is outside Brazil now, and Agência Brasil places Alcazar Holdings on Madeira Island in Portugal.

What Police Say About the Account
In a report to the court, the Federal Police says emails show Flávio Bolsonaro registered as a “master user” of an Alcazar Holdings account at Santander. The police say that profile gave him high-level access and management of the account.
A later email, dated 22 May 2025, asked for his access to be deleted, which the police read as a sign he stayed linked to the account until then. The report also lists parties, meetings and trips of the senator paid for by one of Tomaz’s companies.
The police say this supports a hypothesis of possible economic or de facto corporate participation by the senator, and these are allegations, not findings. No charge against him is known.
What the Defences Say
Flávio Bolsonaro’s defence said in a note, quoted by Gazeta do Povo, that the relationship is a friendship between families, and it called the shared-account claim false. He is a senator for Rio de Janeiro and the candidate of the Liberal Party.
Tomaz’s defence called the measures “disproportionate” and said suspending all his companies imposes “advance punishment, without accusation, process or conviction.” It also said the investigation began in the pension-fraud case, with which he has no connection, and that neither man ever moved the other’s money.
Willer Tomaz said on 18 October that the leak, on a Sunday hours before a debate, was a misuse of the police apparatus meant to influence the vote. He denied committing crimes.
Timeline
- —August 2026 Police search Tomaz in Operation Sem Desconto, and he then leaves Brazil.
- —8 October The case rises from a federal court in Rio Grande do Sul to the Supreme Court.
- —18 October The Supreme Court inquiry becomes public, and Moraes is the drawn rapporteur.
- —20 and 21 October News outlets report a Finance Ministry betting note and a police find in a hangar.
- —23 October Moraes orders the freeze, the passport cancellations and the secrecy waivers.
How the Case Reached the Supreme Court
The case began in a federal court in Rio Grande do Sul, where investigators were looking at money laundering, currency evasion and the use of betting houses. Because Flávio Bolsonaro is a senator, with special jurisdiction before the Supreme Court, it rose to Brasília on 8 October, the prosecutor-general backed an investigation and Moraes was drawn as rapporteur.
The inquiry became public on Sunday 18 October, as we covered in Flávio Denies Laundering Claim 6 Days Out. It is the second Supreme Court inquiry naming the senator, after one opened in July under Justice André Mendonça over the financing of the film Dark Horse by Daniel Vorcaro of Banco Master.
Betting Money Under the Microscope
A Finance Ministry betting-secretariat note, reported by g1 on 20 October, ranks Tomaz as Brazil’s biggest bettor in 2025, with R$5 billion (US$0.99 billion at the 23 October rate) wagered. Over 18 months to July 2026 he wagered R$6.6 billion (US$1.31 billion) and lost R$188.5 million (US$37.4 million), according to g1.
The Federal Police is investigating whether he used betting to launder money, and its report points to signs that he controlled the betting firms Rede Loto and RioPag. Tomaz’s lawyers have said Rede Loto never ran as a betting platform and that Catedral is only a property holding, and in a lawsuit his defence says he has a gambling disorder.
g1 also reported on 21 October that police found a hidden room with a cash-counting machine in a hangar at Brasília airport, with no cash inside. Tomaz’s defence confirmed the room, calling it a vault for cash-transport clients of his aviation firms and any suggestion of illicit money “fanciful.”
What Prediction Markets Say
On Polymarket, an online prediction market, bettors give Flávio Bolsonaro about a 79.5% chance of winning the 25 October runoff and Lula 20.5% (24 October, 5:15 a.m. ET). The Brazil Presidential Election event has drawn about US$194.2 million in bets, with about US$26.2 million on the Flávio contract and US$29.5 million on the Lula contract.
These prices are bets, not polls, and they do not show whether the freeze order changes any vote. Live prices are on our odds page.
Prediction markets · who wins the runoff
Implied chance of winning Brazil’s presidency on 25 October, from traders’ prices.
Polymarket
Flávio Bolsonaro 79.5% · Lula 20.5% (US$194 million traded)
Kalshi (regulated in the US by the CFTC)
Flávio Bolsonaro 79% · Lula 22%
As of 24 October, 5:20 am ET (10:20 Lisbon), updated every 20 minutes. Prices are bets, not polls, and can move fast.
Why we show this: prediction markets turn real-money bets into a live probability that moves within minutes of the news, which is why investors, campaigns and newsrooms in the United States now follow them closely. We show them next to polls and official results, never instead of them.
Why we show this: prediction markets turn real-money bets into a live probability that moves within minutes of the news, which is why investors, campaigns and newsrooms in the United States now follow them closely. We show them next to polls and official results, never instead of them.
What It Means for You
For US readers, the case shows Brazil’s top court moving against a candidate’s circle days before a vote that Washington and investors follow closely. It also shows a Brazilian case with a Florida link, since reports say Tomaz flew to Miami.
Travellers and residents face no change from the order, which targets one lawyer’s assets and companies. Our guides Who Dominates Brazil, Power Structure Explained and Brazil Security and Crime Explained set out how the courts and police work, and our Brasília expat city guide covers the capital where the court sits.
What Is Not Known
The sources reviewed do not show how much of the R$6 billion (US$1.19 billion) ceiling banks actually find and block. They also do not show whether Tomaz will appeal, or whether he will return to Brazil.
The court order itself could not be opened for this article, so the details rest on Agência Brasil, g1, Gazeta do Povo and Brasil de Fato, which agree on the core measures. Whether the inquiry leads to any charge against Tomaz or Flávio Bolsonaro, and whether it affects the runoff, is not known.
Frequently Asked Questions
What did Moraes order against Willer Tomaz?
He ordered up to R$6 billion (US$1.19 billion) blocked, secrecy lifted on his accounts and four companies, and his passports cancelled. He also suspended the business activities of all of Tomaz’s companies.
Who is Willer Tomaz?
He is a Brazilian lawyer and a friend of presidential candidate Flávio Bolsonaro, and he is under police investigation for suspected money laundering. His defence denies wrongdoing and says the measures are disproportionate.
Is Flávio Bolsonaro charged with a crime?
No charge is known, because the Supreme Court case is an inquiry. Police allege he was a master user of an Alcazar account, and he denies sharing an account or doing business with Tomaz.
Does the order change the 25 October runoff?
The sources reviewed do not say it does, and the vote is still scheduled for Sunday 25 October. Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro remain the two candidates.
Why does the order mention Tomaz leaving Brazil?
He left Brazil on 21 August, after being searched in Operation Sem Desconto, according to Metrópoles quoting the order. Investigators flagged the trip as a risk that evidence abroad could be destroyed.
Sources: Agência Brasil, 23 October 2026; g1, 23 October 2026; Gazeta do Povo, 24 October 2026; Brasil de Fato, 23 October 2026; Metrópoles, 23 October 2026; g1, 18 October 2026; g1, 20 October 2026; g1, 21 October 2026; Central Bank of Brazil PTAX rate, 23 October 2026.
This article was produced by The Rio Times’ automated newsroom system. How we use AI · Report an error · Editorial responsibility: Matthias Camenzind, Editor-in-Chief
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