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China’s EV industry rose with the aid of tax breaks. What happens when they end?

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As China is ending tax exemptions that helped fuel the rise of its electric-vehicle (EV) and solar industries, analysts said it could add to the cost of producing an EV and put pressure on manufacturers, as Beijing steps up efforts to

curb overcapacity and price wars.

The levy could add about 1,000 yuan (US$147) to the cost of producing an EV, analysts estimated – a modest increase per car, but a fresh squeeze on carmakers’ already razor-thin margins.

China will levy a consumption tax on lithium-ion batteries and solar cells for the first time in more than a decade, the Ministry of Finance announced on Friday. The tax would be set at 2 per cent for lithium-ion batteries – used in electric vehicles and energy storage – from September 1. Solar cells, however, would not be taxed at 2 per cent until April 1. Both rates are scheduled to rise to 4 per cent a year after their respective start dates.

China introduced a 4 per cent consumption tax on batteries in 2015, but made lithium-ion batteries and solar cells exempt to support the nascent industries.

“Subsidies were needed at the start. They are not needed now,” said Jia Xinguang, a veteran analyst of China’s auto industry, who saw the move as a sign of Beijing’s confidence that the sectors had outgrown preferential tax treatment.

The policy change would come at a cost to manufacturers, analysts said.

A typical electric car in China carries a battery pack with 50 to 100 kilowatt-hours of energy. With battery cells currently priced at around 0.35 to 0.40 yuan per watt-hour, the initial levy would lift that to roughly 0.36 to 0.41 yuan per watt-hour, adding as much as US$147 per car once the rate reaches 4 per cent, according to calculations by Cui Dongshu, secretary general of the China Passenger Car Association (CPCA).

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