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How We Model Election Results With the Needle

5 hours ago 7

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Our live election night forecast is known as “the Needle.” Nate Cohn, chief political analyst for The New York Times, explains how it works.

By Nate Cohn, James Surdam, June Kim, Amílcar Cariño Charlemagne, Laura Bult and Claire Hogan

November 3, 2026

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