“This map kind of looks a little bit like it did in 2016.” Nate Silver explains what happens if the polls overstate Democrats again. He says the Senate would go from lean Democrat to lean Republican. For nonpartisan data on the 2026 midterm election, check out USAFacts election hub: https://usafacts.org/elections/ Subscribe to VICE News here: http://bit.ly/Subscribe-to-VICE-News Check out VICE News for more: http://vicenews.com Follow VICE News here: TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@vicenews?lang=en Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/vicenews Twitter: https://twitter.com/vicenews Instagram: http://instagram.com/vicenews More videos from the VICE network: https://www.fb.com/vicevideo #VICENews #News