It cannot be lost on anyone in the Cuban government that the Trump administration used a federal indictment against Nicolás Maduro, the authoritarian leader of Venezuela, as the pretext for a raid to swoop into Caracas in January and seize him.

Whether the U.S. military is moving toward a similar raid in Cuba is not known, though an operation is probably not imminent. A large number of American Special Operations Forces are deployed in the Middle East, in case hostilities against Iran flare again.