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Brazil Stocks Fall 1.15% in Global Selloff

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The São Paulo skyline rising behind the green canopy of Ibirapuera ParkThe São Paulo skyline behind Ibirapuera Park, home to Brazil's financial markets. File photo. (Photo: Ibirapuera, CC BY 3.0, via Wikimedia Commons)

Brazil Markets · Stocks · Real

Published Thursday, 22 October, 8:00 p.m. ET · Source: B3 stock exchange closing data

Key Facts

—

The number. Brazil’s main stock index, the Ibovespa, fell 1.15% to 204,120 points on Thursday.

—

The dollar. The dollar rose 0.22% to R$5.038, or about US$0.1985 per real.

Brazil Election Data Room

Runoff poll average: Flávio Bolsonaro 50.9%, Lula 49.1%

36 national polls from 20 pollsters since 4 October, updated hourly. Every poll, free to download.

—

The cause. A global selloff in US tech shares and rising oil, plus caution before Sunday’s runoff.

—

The vote. The presidential runoff is Sunday, 25 October; Quaest polling shows a one-point race.

—

Prediction markets. Polymarket prices Flávio Bolsonaro at 75.6% and Lula at 23.5% to win (22 October 2026, 7:37 p.m. ET).

—

Power Index Brazil ranks 1st of 14 in The Rio Times Latin America Power Index, with 75.0 points (October 2026 edition).

Prediction markets · who wins the runoff

Implied chance of winning Brazil’s presidency on 25 October, from traders’ prices.

Polymarket

Flávio Bolsonaro 76.9% · Lula 23.5% (US$192 million traded)

Kalshi (regulated in the US by the CFTC)

Flávio Bolsonaro 75% · Lula 25%

As of 22 October, 7:20 pm ET (00:20 Lisbon), updated every 20 minutes. Prices are bets, not polls, and can move fast.

Why we show this: prediction markets turn real-money bets into a live probability that moves within minutes of the news, which is why investors, campaigns and newsrooms in the United States now follow them closely. We show them next to polls and official results, never instead of them.

Brazilian shares fell and the real weakened on Thursday as investors worldwide sold risk. The Ibovespa lost 1.15% to 204,120 points at the 5:00 p.m. Brasília close (4:00 p.m. ET), and the dollar rose 0.22% to R$5.038.

The drop followed a rough day on Wall Street, where the S&P 500 fell 1.2% and the Nasdaq about 2.6%, according to InfoMoney and CNN Brasil. Brazil also votes in four days, which kept buyers cautious.

See our guide to the real to dollar for what drives the pair.

What Moved the Market

The Ibovespa had closed at 206,495 points on Wednesday. On Thursday it traded between 203,052 and 206,493, and ended near the low.

Oil climbed on Middle East tensions, with Brent crude above US$110 a barrel, which revived inflation worries. Tech shares fell on renewed doubts about heavy artificial-intelligence spending, which pulled global stocks down.

Ibovespa daily chart showing a 1.15% fall to 204,120 points on 22 October 2026

Miners and Banks Lead Losses

  • Vale (mining giant, VALE): down 3.97%.
  • CSN and Usiminas (steelmakers): down 5.43% and 4.81%.
  • Gerdau (steelmaker): down 3.92%.
  • Bradesco (bank): down 2.08%. Itaú Unibanco (ITUB) lost 1.84%.
  • Petrobras (state oil company, PBR): up 0.14%, helped by oil.
Traders seated in front of quote boards on the São Paulo stock exchange trading floorTraders at the São Paulo stock exchange. File photo. (Photo: Rafael Matsunaga, Creative Commons, via Flickr)
Live Market IntelligenceBrazil — Live Market BoardInside: market breadth, the sector heatmap, currencies & rates, the Latin America scoreboard and the full instrument board.

Rio Times · Live Market Intelligence

Brazil — Live Market Board

B3 · São Paulo
Oct 22, 2026 · 20:39

Ibovespa · benchmark

204,120.12
-1.15%

L 167,142day rangeH 168,310

+21.85% over 12 months

Market breadth · 15 names

47% advancing

7 ▲ advancing8 declining ▼

Currencies, rates & key inputs

Sector heatmap · average move today

Mining

+1.16%

VALE3, CSNA3, GGBR4

Industrials

+0.20%

WEGE3, RENT3

Financials

-0.10%

ITUB4, BBDC4, BBAS3, B3SA3

Energy

-0.12%

PETR4, PRIO3

Consumer Staples

-0.80%

ABEV3

Consumer Disc.

-2.63%

AZZA3

Latin America scoreboard

IndexLastTodayStrength

IbovespaBrazil
204,120.12
-1.15%

S&P/BMV IPCMexico
69,370.40
-1.25%

S&P IPSAChile
10,780.31
-1.88%

S&P MERVALArgentina
3,017,221
—

MSCI COLCAPColombia
2,528.42
-1.25%

BVL S&P PerúPeru
59,561.23
-4.26%

Full instrument board

Instrument Last Change YoY Prev. High Low Volume
IBOV 204,120.12 -1.15% +21.85% 206,495.23 168,310 167,142 —
USD/BRL 5.16 +0.01% -5.13% 5.16 5.18 5.14 —
SELIC 14.00% — — — — —
PETR4 41.64 -0.05% +35.19% 41.66 41.97 41.15 41,499,400
VALE3 72.97 +0.83% +30.75% 72.37 73.54 72.66 17,658,000
ITUB4 38.60 -1.03% +4.57% 39.00 39.34 38.39 29,487,800
BBDC4 16.85 +0.36% +3.50% 16.79 16.90 16.67 19,416,900
BBAS3 19.37 +0.47% +0.73% 19.28 19.44 19.16 11,069,200
B3SA3 14.26 -0.21% +12.73% 14.29 14.47 14.11 33,037,800
ABEV3 14.89 -0.80% +21.91% 15.01 15.07 14.81 16,453,100
WEGE3 47.59 +0.49% +29.99% 47.36 48.08 47.36 3,364,600
PRIO3 59.14 -0.19% +50.67% 59.25 59.81 58.74 3,325,600
SUZB3 41.33 +2.35% -23.55% 40.38 41.48 40.35 3,914,900
RENT3 34.68 -0.09% +0.84% 34.71 34.96 34.35 7,979,100
AZZA3 15.89 -2.63% -53.76% 16.32 16.42 15.82 1,330,300
CSNA3 4.30 +0.47% -42.65% 4.28 4.41 4.26 10,076,100
GGBR4 24.69 +2.19% +51.38% 24.16 24.85 24.18 7,047,600
ENEV3 24.21 -1.38% +70.49% 24.55 24.64 23.99 9,297,000

Largest moves today

AZZA3
15.89
-2.63%

SUZB3
41.33
+2.35%

GGBR4
24.69
+2.19%

ENEV3
24.21
-1.38%

IBOV
204,120.12
-1.15%

ITUB4
38.60
-1.03%

VALE3
72.97
+0.83%

ABEV3
14.89
-0.80%

The session read

The Ibovespa eased 1.15%, with breadth negative — 7 of 15 names higher. Materials led, while Consumer Disc. lagged.

From The Rio Times

Related coverage · 22 Oct 2026

Gerp Poll Has Flávio 53%, Lula 47%

Read →

Election Nerves Before the Runoff

Voters choose on Sunday, 25 October between Flávio Bolsonaro, a conservative senator and son of former president Jair Bolsonaro, and President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. A Quaest poll gave Bolsonaro 45% and Lula 44%, a gap inside the margin of error.

Investors tend to hedge ahead of close votes, which can lift the dollar and lower local stocks. Our Brazil’s economy overview covers the backdrop, and our election desk tracks the result.

What Prediction Markets Say

  • Polymarket, “Brazil Presidential Election”: Flávio Bolsonaro 75.6%, Lula 23.5% (US$192 million traded).
  • Polymarket, runoff margin: Bolsonaro by less than 4 points 41.5%, Bolsonaro by 4 to 8 points 30.0%, Lula by less than 4 points 21.5% (US$4.5 million traded).

Prices as of 7:37 p.m. ET, 22 October 2026. Prices are bets, not polls; Kalshi is regulated in the US by the CFTC.

Why we show this: prediction markets turn real-money bets into a live probability that moves within minutes of the news, which is why investors, campaigns and newsrooms in the United States now follow them closely. We show them next to polls and official results, never instead of them.

What It Means for US Readers

The iShares MSCI Brazil ETF (EWZ) closed at US$41.85, down 1.6% from US$42.51. Dollar holders of Brazilian shares lost twice: once on prices and once on a weaker real.

Visitors paying in dollars get slightly more reais for each dollar, but swings may continue through the vote. Expats who are paid in reais saw their pay buy slightly less in dollar terms.

What Is Not Known

It is not clear whether the selloff continues once Wall Street reopens on Friday. The runoff result, expected on Sunday evening, will set the next move for the real; the next Brazilian inflation reading, the mid-month IPCA, is due Friday, 23 October.

Sources

InfoMoney, Ibovespa close · CNN Brasil, market summary · B3, Ibovespa · Polymarket, Brazil election · TSE, electoral court

This article was produced by The Rio Times’ automated newsroom system. How we use AI · Report an error · Editorial responsibility: Matthias Camenzind, Editor-in-Chief

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Frequently Asked Questions

Why did Brazil’s stock market fall on 22 October?

Global risk aversion hit first, with the S&P 500 down 1.2% and the Nasdaq about 2.6%. Caution before the 25 October presidential runoff and weaker mining and bank shares added to the drop.

How much did the Ibovespa fall?

The Ibovespa lost 1.15% to 204,120 points on Thursday, 22 October 2026. It had closed at 206,495 points the day before.

What is the dollar-to-real rate after the selloff?

The dollar closed at R$5.038, up 0.22%, so one real bought about US$0.1985. Brazilian assets often weaken when investors worldwide cut risk.

When is Brazil’s presidential runoff?

Voters choose between Flávio Bolsonaro and President Lula on Sunday, 25 October 2026. The electoral court, the TSE, publishes the official results.

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